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The idea of Comcast purchasing ITV has prompted apprehensions about the consequences on British public service broadcasting, a situation that Channel 4’s new top boss, moving from a high-ranking position at Sky, will be all too well aware of.

Sky’s commercial director, Priya Dogra, will now be looked to to take a leading role to thwart her ex-company's buyout proposal to defend Channel 4.

The envisaged combination of Sky and ITV’s terrestrial and streaming assets would leave Channel 4 a much smaller player in the realm of TV and digital ad sales, reviving debate of the need to re-examine some form of partnership with the BBC for continued existence.

Immediate Alarm: The Future of News

However, it is the possible consequences on the future of news provision that are causing the most urgent concern for many within the television industry.

The surprise news last month that Comcast, which controls assets including Universal Studios and bought Rupert Murdoch’s Sky for £30bn in 2018, makes commercial sense. Traditional broadcasters are facing a long-term existential threat as audiences and revenues continue to swiftly shift to global digital players such as Meta, Google, Amazon, and Netflix.

“Comcast’s move for ITV is causing nervousness among media watchers, with especial focus for news provision.”

However, the potential £1.6bn purchase of ITV’s television business and streaming service, which would end 70 years of independence, is full of regulatory, political, and competition issues.

At a stroke, Comcast would control Sky News and ITV News—including its far-reaching regional news operation—and become the biggest shareholder in ITN, which produces news for ITV, Channel 4, and Channel 5.

While Comcast’s 40% stake in ITN would not be a controlling stake—other shareholders include the owner of the Daily Mail, Thomson Reuters, and Informa—it would still be heavily involved in the news output of most of the main commercial broadcasters.

“If a deal materialises, the fate of ITN is an pivotal one that will become a priority politically,” notes one senior TV executive. “Effectively, they will be involved in the news output of all the biggest non-BBC channels.”

Funding Guarantees and Regulatory Scrutiny

Comcast guaranteed to keep funding Sky News for a decade, raising its funding annually in line with inflation, as part of its 2018 takeover of Sky. As that commitment draws closer to expiring, concerns have been raised about whether the US company will continue to completely finance Sky News, which has an annual budget of £100m but is thought to operate at a deficit of as much as £80m.

It is thought that any deal to buy ITV would include assurances not to seek permission from media regulator Ofcom to change the conditions of its public service broadcast licence, which includes commitments to national and regional news.

“There are clearly questions about media diversity,” says Stewart Puvis, a former ITN chief executive. “Theoretically, Comcast could, say, merge Sky and ITV News and use its position as a 40% shareholder in ITN to assert control... I would hope Comcast understand ways of solving these problems.”

Pressure on Public Service

British TV executives have previously warned of the risk posed to the UK’s system of public service broadcasters (PSBs) by large parts of the industry being taken over by US corporations.

Recently, Ofcom published a report warning that public service television, such as news provision and UK-focused content, risks becoming an “endangered species” as viewers migrate to US online platforms and streamers.

The watchdog also revealed data showing that YouTube had surpassed ITV to become the UK’s second most-watched media service, behind only the BBC, with it and Netflix now the two most popular first TV destinations among young people.

A Call for Collaboration

There are those who believe that a Sky takeover of ITV, against the landscape of the viewer shift to mostly US digital companies, heralds the need for closer collaboration between the UK’s biggest broadcasters.

“The UK requires and deserves its own part of mass media which isn’t US controlled,” says a second broadcasting executive. “It’s a vital strategic need. I think the government needs to work out how the boards of the PSBs have a new part to their remits that compels them to collaborate.”

Given that advertisers follow eyeballs, a combination of Sky and ITV could create a British TV and streaming giant, with the two companies’ sales houses controlling a dominant share of total ad spend on traditional TV and broadcasters’ streaming services.

The CMA's Role

Any deal will necessitate an investigation by the UK competition watchdog. Sky is hoping the regulator will expand the view of the ad market to include the impact of giants like YouTube and Facebook.

“I think it will get approved,” says Alex DeGroote, a media analyst. “Comcast will do everything it can to say it will maintain the PSB status quo... But you don’t buy to ultimately keep everything the same. ITV plus Sky would give them a hugely dominant position in the TV ad market.”

Funding Problems of Channel 4 and the BBC

Channel 4, which relies on advertising for the vast majority of its income, now faces a eroded BBC as a potential partner and a formidable commercial threat from a combined Sky-ITV.

“We may at some point end up in that situation because of the deep cumulative cuts to the BBC’s funding and because Channel 4, too, has a core budgetary challenge,” says Patrick Barwise, an emeritus professor at London Business School. “Channel 4 has repeatedly outperformed forecasts, but that is just delaying the inevitable. It’s now beginning to run out of road.”

The continuing debate underscores a larger conundrum for British media: how to preserve a domestic voice and a healthy public service ecosystem in an ever more globalised and digitally dominated landscape.